USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
17 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %
Entry
158.198
Target
158.489 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.655 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.73 % per trade 2,520 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,520 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −8.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Momentum Hidden Bull Div, MACD Hidden Bull Div, RSI Hidden Bull Div +16 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +35% Scalping
▲ Bullish 99 % (86.80) ▼ Bearish 1 % (0.95)
model score 98.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 3h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Statement●●●in 3h
  • TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Momentum Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.47
▲ MACD Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.44
▲ RSI Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.41
▲ AO Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.12
▲ Stoch Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.03
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.56
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.41
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.29
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.14
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 2.08
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.56
▼ RSI OB Entry indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal on the 30m chart, with multiple indicators aligning for a buy.
  • The nearest support at 157.65500 is the critical invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish case.
  • Higher timeframes (8h and above) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • Momentum is strong now, but the overall trend is still forming (low trend scores), so confirmation from price action is key.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The APO Zero Cross Up and RSI OB Entry suggest accelerating upside momentum, while the DEMA Break Up and multiple retreat-up signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) confirm that price is consistently finding support at dynamic levels. The confluence of these signals points to a continuation of the current up-move, with the nearest support at 157.65500 acting as the key invalidation zone.

However, the higher timeframes paint a mixed picture: while 15m through 4h are bullish, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, albeit choppy and sideways. This suggests the bullish momentum is primarily a short-term correction within a larger downtrend. The trend scores across all timeframes are low (1-2 out of 5), indicating the trend is still forming and lacks strong alignment. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a broader bearish context, watching for a stall near any overhead resistance or a break below 157.65500.
Catalysts
  • ▲ A dense cluster of over 12 bullish signals, including APO Zero Cross Up and RSI OB Entry, indicating strong momentum.
  • ▲ Multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA) confirm that price is bouncing off key dynamic supports.
  • ▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-4h) are all bullish, providing intraday alignment for the move.
  • ▲ The 98% probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bearish, which could cap the upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The trend scores are low (1-2/5) across all timeframes, indicating the trend is not yet well established.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.65500 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a sharp decline.
  • ▼ No nearby resistance is listed, but overhead supply from the larger downtrend could stall the rally.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 99%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-28 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 157.65500 2026-10-28
S2 157.58400 2026-10-27
S3 156.64900 2026-10-26

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