AUD/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-29 09:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.14 %

Entry

110.833

Target

108.634 +1.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

112.613 −1.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 222 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 222 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (57.85)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

22:00TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 6h
23:50TomorrowJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 1 day
00:30November 5, 2026AUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.34
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.07
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.77
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.29
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.28

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 12H with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
Higher timeframes (4H, 12H) are still bullish, so the move may be a correction.
Watch the 108.634 support; a break could accelerate downside, while 112.613 resistance caps upside.
Choppy price action across most timeframes suggests low conviction; wait for confirmation.

The AUD/JPY 12H signal is firmly bearish, with a 65% probability and moderate strength. A cluster of indicators—CCI exiting overbought, BBANDS upper band retreat, EMA 20/50 Golden Cross, ERI bearish zero cross, HMA break and direction down, and TTM trend down—all point to downside momentum. However, the higher timeframes (4H and 12H) are still bullish, but choppy, suggesting the bearish move may be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal.

Across the lower timeframes (15m to 2h), the trend is bearish but choppy, with only the 2H showing a forming trend. The 8H and 1D are bearish but choppy. This mixed alignment means the sell signal is strongest in the short term, but lacks full confluence across all timeframes. Key levels to monitor: resistance at 112.613 and support at 108.634. A break below the support could confirm a deeper bearish move, while holding above may see a bounce.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (CCI, BBANDS, EMA, ERI, HMA, TTM) all point bearish, providing strong confluence.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish, supporting short-term downside.
▼ Golden Cross on EMA 20/50 is a bearish signal in this context, reinforcing the sell.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H) are still bullish, which could limit the bearish move.
▲ Choppy/sideways trend on most timeframes suggests weak momentum; the signal may fade.
▲ If price holds above 112.613 resistance, the bearish case weakens.
▲ A break below 108.634 support is needed to confirm, but until then the move may be a retracement.