AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.08 %
Entry
110.918
Target
111.564 +0.58 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.324 −0.54 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 14h
  • TomorrowJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 1 day
  • November 5, 2026AUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 93%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.78
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.66
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.45
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.19
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.09
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish momentum and volatility indicators has fired on the 1H timeframe, signaling a potential reversal from the recent bearish drift.
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bullish, though choppy, so the 1H signal aligns with the longer-term bias.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 111.56400; a break above it would confirm bullish momentum, while a drop below support at 110.84700 would invalidate the signal.
  • The 100% probability and very strong strength reflect exceptional confluence among the fired indicators, but the choppy higher timeframes warrant caution.
The AUD/JPY 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Up, alongside a KDJ Cross Up and retreats from the lower bands of the ACCBANDS and KELTNER volatility channels. This confluence suggests that the recent bearish pressure on the 1H timeframe is losing momentum, with momentum oscillators turning upward and price rebounding off lower volatility boundaries. The 100% probability and very strong strength rating indicate a high-confidence alignment among these indicators.

However, the broader trend structure is mixed. While the 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish but forming a trend, the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, albeit choppy and sideways. This suggests that the higher timeframes are still supporting an overall bullish bias, and the current 1H signal could be an early reversal attempt within that larger context. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 111.56400 and support at 110.84700. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and suggest the bearish pressure persists.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, KDJ) all crossing upward simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ EMA and SMA 200 Retreat Up suggest the price is bouncing off long-term moving averages, a classic bullish reversal pattern.
  • ▲ Retreats from the lower bands of ACCBANDS and KELTNER imply that volatility compression is resolving to the upside.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the 1H signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bearish, so the signal could be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish correction.
  • ▼ Choppy and sideways trends on the 15m to 30m timeframes suggest low momentum and potential for false breakouts.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 110.84700, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the bearish pressure could resume.
  • ▼ The high probability is based on indicator confluence, but market conditions can shift quickly; monitor price action for confirmation.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 93%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 110.84700 2026-10-28
S2 110.32400 2026-10-26
S3 110.08200 2026-10-26

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