AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 21:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

111.272

Target

110.912 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

112.384 −1.00 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average −1.09 % per trade 1,316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,316 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −9.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (15.27)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 475 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TomorrowJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 1 day
23:30TomorrowJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 1 day
23:30TomorrowJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.68
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.47
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.94
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.61
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on the 1H chart, with eight indicators aligning for a SELL.
Higher timeframes (30m to 1d) are bullish, so this may be a short-term pullback, not a full reversal.
Watch the 110.91200 support level; a break below confirms further downside.
The 111.30800 resistance is the key invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the bearish signal.

The 1H SELL signal on AUD/JPY is backed by a dense cluster of eight bearish indicators firing simultaneously on the 1H chart, including a DX Trend Weak, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, DEMA Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, ALMA Break Down, and HMA Break Down. This confluence suggests a strong, coordinated bearish shift in the short-term trend, with the signal strength rated as very strong and probability at 100%.

However, the higher timeframes (30m through 1d) are predominantly bullish, with solid trends on 30m, 1H, and 2H, and choppy/sideways bullish on 8H through 1d. This creates a conflict: the 1H bearish signal is firing against the prevailing bullish bias in higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 111.30800 and support at 110.91200 provide key levels to watch. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. The divergence between the 1H bearish signal and higher-timeframe bullish trends suggests the move may be a corrective pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (DX, BBANDS, DEMA, SAR, ERI, KDJ, ALMA, HMA) all flash bearish on the 1H chart, showing strong confluence.
▼ The SAR Flip Bearish and ERI Bear Zero Cross Down are classic momentum shifts.
▼ The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability suggest high conviction in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m, 1H, 2H) are bullish with solid trends, which could overpower the 1H bearish signal.
▲ The 1H bearish signal may be a temporary correction within a larger bullish trend.
▲ If price reclaims the 111.30800 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes (15m trend only 3/5) could stall the move.