AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 14:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %

Entry

110.918

Target

110.324 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −0.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

22:00TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 14h
23:50TomorrowJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 1 day
00:30November 5, 2026AUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.56
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.49
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.20
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart, with 91% probability, suggests high-confidence short-term downside.
Trend alignment across 15m to 2h supports the bearish case, but higher timeframes (4h+) remain bullish, so caution is warranted.
Key levels: support at 110.84700 and resistance at 111.56400; a break below support would confirm, while reclaiming resistance would invalidate.
Watch for fading momentum or a bullish push from higher timeframes that could reverse the short-term trend.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a BOP Zero Cross Down, with a very strong 91% probability. The confluence of moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and the CCI exiting oversold territory indicate that downside momentum is building, while the Bollinger Band lower-bound retreat suggests the recent dip was not a one-off. The bearish trend is consistent across the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, with trend scores improving from choppy/sideways to trend forming, which supports the short-term bearish outlook.

However, the higher timeframes (4h through 1d) remain bullish, albeit choppy, which creates a potential conflict. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 and support at 110.84700 define the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for momentum fade or a higher-timeframe bullish push that could stall the decline.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) confirm strong downside momentum.
▼ CCI exiting oversold territory often precedes continued bearish moves, adding confluence.
▼ Trendline break and BOP zero cross reinforce the bearish narrative.
▼ Trend scores improving from choppy to trend forming on 1h and 2h timeframes indicate the bearish trend is strengthening.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could pull price back up and invalidate the signal.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are still choppy/sideways, suggesting the bearish move may lack clean follow-through.
▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 111.56400 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
▲ Momentum could fade if the CCI or moving averages flatten, leading to a sideways consolidation.