AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.28 %
Entry
111.393
Target
110.912 +0.43 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.947 −0.50 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle, MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 13.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 853 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 7h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 7h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.00
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.96
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.82
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.73
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.49
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.08

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 30-minute suggest a short-term pullback, but the higher timeframes remain bullish.
  • The signal is weak and moderate in probability, so caution is warranted.
  • Watch the 110.91200 support level; a break below would increase bearish conviction.
  • The 1-hour solid bullish trend is the main counterweight to this sell signal.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish indicator signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI and Williams %R overbought exits, a MACD signal cross down, and a Stochastic KD cross down. These are joined by a Heikin Ashi trend mode shift to cycle and a CTI overbought entry, while the STC level crosses up. Together, they suggest that after a period of bullish momentum, the pair is showing early signs of exhaustion and a potential short-term pullback. The probability is moderate at 58% and strength is weak, so the signal is not yet a strong reversal call.

Across higher timeframes, the trend remains bullish, with the 1-hour showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 30-minute still bullish but only forming (2/5). This creates a conflict: the bearish signals on the 30-minute are against the prevailing higher-timeframe bullish bias. The nearest support sits at 110.91200, which becomes a key level to watch. If the pair holds above this support, the bearish move may be shallow; a break below could open the door to a deeper correction. Traders should treat this as a tactical pullback signal within a broader bullish structure, not a trend reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exits (CCI, Williams %R) and a MACD cross down align on the 30-minute.
  • ▼ Heikin Ashi trend mode shifting to cycle indicates a pause in bullish momentum.
  • ▼ STC level cross up adds confluence to the bearish cluster.
  • ▼ The signal fires after a period of bullish trend, suggesting exhaustion at a local level.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bullish, which may override the 30-minute bearish signal.
  • ▲ The signal strength is weak, so the pullback could be shallow or fail to develop.
  • ▲ If price holds above 110.91200 support, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
  • ▲ The 15-minute and 8h-1d timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating low conviction in the broader trend.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 01:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 110.91200 2026-10-28
S2 110.32400 2026-10-26
S3 110.08200 2026-10-26

Tags

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