AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-28 21:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.70543

Target

0.70804 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70250 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average −1.09 % per trade 1,316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,316 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −9.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, Trendline Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (78.59) ▼ Bearish 3 % (2.63)

model score 96.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDPCE Price Index m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.3%in 14h
12:30TomorrowUSDCore PCE Price Index y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 14h
12:30TomorrowUSDCore PCE Price Index m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.90
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.87
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.43
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.51
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.36
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish triggers (Trendline Break Up, Ascending Triangle, BOP, STOCH) align on the 1H timeframe, indicating a strong momentum shift.
All timeframes are bullish, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) are choppy/sideways, so the medium-term trend is not yet confirmed.
The nearest support at 0.70250 is the critical level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish signal.
The absence of a defined resistance level suggests potential for upside, but traders should manage risk accordingly.

The AUD/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish triggers, led by a Trendline Break Up and an Ascending Triangle breakout, with momentum confirmed by BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH OB Exit. The retreats of DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA all pointing up add confluence, while the +10 additional signals across candlestick, trendline, indicator, and chart pattern groups underscore a broad-based shift. The 96% probability and very strong strength suggest a high-conviction move, with the nearest support at 0.70250 acting as the key invalidation reference.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15m up to 1D, though the higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are choppy/sideways with a weak trend score of 1/5. This means the immediate momentum is strong, but the medium-term trend is not yet established. The 1H trend is forming (2/5), and the 1D is also forming, indicating that this breakout could be the catalyst for a broader trend if it holds. The absence of a defined nearest resistance suggests open room to the upside, but traders should watch for the 0.70250 support level as the line in the sand for the bullish thesis.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of multiple signal groups (candlestick, trendline, indicator, chart pattern) all pointing bullish.
▲ Trendline Break Up and Ascending Triangle breakout provide classic chart pattern confirmation.
▲ Momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH OB Exit) confirm buying pressure.
▲ Consistent bullish bias across all timeframes, even if weaker on higher ones, supports continuation.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores, suggesting the medium-term trend may not support a sustained move.
▼ The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the breakout could be premature if it fails to hold.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.70250 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a reversal.
▼ Given the very high probability (96%), there is a risk of overconfidence if the market conditions change quickly.