AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 04:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.38 %

Entry

0.70521

Target

0.70648 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70250 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, Trendline Break Up, MA Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 6h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 6h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.81
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.80
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish breakout on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators and patterns aligning.
The nearest support at 0.70250 is the key level to watch; a break below would invalidate the signal.
Higher timeframes are bullish but choppy, so the trend is not yet fully confirmed on longer horizons.
No immediate resistance means potential for extended upside, but also higher risk of a false breakout.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and an Ascending Triangle breakout, with a host of moving-average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) and momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up) all confirming the same direction. The confluence across trendline, chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick groups gives the signal very strong strength and a 94% probability. Across timeframes, the 30-minute and 1-hour trends are solidly bullish, while the 15-minute is choppy but still bullish, and the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bullish though weaker, indicating that the immediate momentum is strong but the broader trend is still forming. This suggests that the breakout is likely to continue in the near term, but traders should be cautious about the lack of stronger confirmation on higher timeframes.

The nearest support is at 0.70250, which now acts as the key invalidation level if the price were to fall back below it. There is no defined nearest resistance, meaning the pair is in price discovery after the breakout, which can lead to extended moves but also increases the risk of a false breakout. The alignment of multiple moving-average retreats indicates that the trend is being supported by several dynamic indicators, but the choppy nature of the higher timeframes warns that the bullish momentum may not yet be fully established. Traders should watch for the price to hold above the breakout zone and the support level, and monitor whether higher timeframes begin to strengthen to confirm a more durable trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple signal groups: trendline, chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick all firing bullish.
▲ Bullish trend alignment across all timeframes, even if weaker on higher ones, supports continuation.
▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 50, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) confirm the trend from different angles.
▲ High probability (94%) and very strong strength indicate a high-confidence setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the broader trend is not yet robust.
▼ A close below the nearest support at 0.70250 would invalidate the breakout and signal a potential reversal.
▼ No resistance above means the pair is in uncharted territory; a false breakout could lead to a quick pullback.
▼ The 15-minute timeframe is choppy, indicating near-term volatility that could cause whipsaws.