AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-29 12:00 UTC 24 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.16 %

Entry

8.7670

Target

8.5590 +2.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.1620 −4.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 12,093 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 12,093 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: VIDYA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.34) ▼ Bearish 93 % (17.52)

model score 92.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:45TomorrowUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 1 day
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4 days
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 12:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.10
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 30M with multiple retreat indicators pointing to downside momentum.
Higher timeframes (1h to 1d) are all bearish, providing a solid macro backdrop.
Watch the 8.55900 support; a break would strengthen the bearish case, while a move above 9.16200 would invalidate.
Short-term timeframes are still choppy, so expect possible sideways action before a clear downtrend resumes.

The 30-minute signal is a strong SELL with a 92% probability, backed by a broad cluster of bearish indicators including BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down, and VIDYA Retreat Down. These signals collectively indicate a loss of buying pressure and a shift toward bearish momentum on the short-term timeframe. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a nuance, suggesting a possible short-term counter-move, but the overwhelming bearish alignment dominates.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15m and 30m are still bullish but choppy, while the 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all show bearish trends, with the 8h and 12h being solid. This alignment across higher timeframes supports the bearish bias, though the short-term bullish choppiness could cause temporary bounces. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 9.16200 and support at 8.55900. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance could signal a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat indicators (EMA, MA, HMA, VIDYA) all pointing down, creating strong confluence.
▼ BOP and ERI zero crosses down confirm a shift in momentum and volume pressure.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (8h, 12h) are solidly bearish, aligning with the short-term signal.
▼ Nearest support at 8.55900 is a clear downside target, with resistance at 9.16200 providing a defined invalidation zone.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish, albeit choppy, which could cause short-term bounces or counter-trend moves.
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up suggests a possible intraday reversal or pause in the downtrend.
▲ If price reclaims the 9.16200 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated and a bullish reversal could follow.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature on some timeframes (2h, 1d) indicates indecision, which may lead to false breakouts.