AVAX/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-29 16:00 UTC 21 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.59 %

Entry

8.2810

Target

7.1690 +13.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

10.0540 −21.41 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.15 % per trade 1,003 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,003 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +4.08 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.34 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 21 % at stop avg −5.33 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +27.4 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +15% Swing

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.60) ▼ Bearish 93 % (20.32)

model score 92.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2 days
15:00November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.66
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.47
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.07
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.42
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.38
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.08
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.95
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	0.93
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on the 8H chart with 92% probability, backed by a dense cluster of momentum and volatility indicators.
Bearish alignment across all major timeframes, with the strongest trends on 15m, 30m, 8H, and 12H.
Key levels: resistance at 10.05400, support at 7.16900; a break below support likely accelerates declines.
Watch for a reclaim of resistance to invalidate the bearish setup.

The AVA/USDT 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and BBANDS LOWER Break Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to strong selling pressure, with the signal probability at 92% and strength rated as very strong. The bearish alignment across multiple timeframes—from 15m to 1D—reinforces the downtrend, with the 15m, 30m, 8H, and 12H all showing solid or very strong bearish trends. The nearest resistance sits at 10.05400, while support is at 7.16900, levels that will likely act as key decision points.

Traders should watch for a continuation toward the support zone, but the high probability signal does not guarantee price movement. The trend is consistent across timeframes, but the 2H timeframe is choppy, and the 1H and 4H trends are only forming, suggesting some intraday counter-trend risk. A break below the support at 7.16900 would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance at 10.05400 would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the strength of the signal, the path of least resistance is lower, but prudent risk management remains essential.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (BOP, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all pointing down.
▼ Trend alignment across timeframes, with 8H and 12H solid bearish trends reinforcing the signal.
▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band suggests increased downside volatility and momentum.
▼ High probability (92%) and very strong strength score indicate robust signal confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term consolidation or a bounce.
▲ The 1H and 4H trends are only forming, so momentum may not be fully established on those timeframes.
▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 10.05400 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may lead to a technical rebound, especially if broader market sentiment shifts.