ETH/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
23 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.34 %
Entry
2,253.13
Target
1,853.62 +17.73 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,526.62 −12.14 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 685 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 685 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +5.19 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.84 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.84 % 17 % at stop avg −6.11 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
63.8 % ↑ +3.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Position
▲ Bullish 13 % (5.25) ▼ Bearish 87 % (35.95)
model score 87.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
ETH/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2 days
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.76
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.88
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.54
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.32
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.22
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.18
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.17
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.08

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with 12H and 30M showing solid trend strength.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, KDJ, SMI) confirm downward pressure, while oversold RSI/Williams %R suggest the move is stretched.
  • Watch the 2526.62 resistance as the invalidation zone; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
  • Support at 1853.62 is the next major downside target, but oversold conditions may trigger short-term bounces.
The 12H ETH/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including Aroon Strong Downtrend, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI and Williams %R oversold entries, a Bollinger Bands lower band break, KDJ and SMI crosses down, and a trend-mode shift on the higher timeframe. Together, these point to a well-established downtrend with momentum firmly to the downside. The alignment across timeframes is consistent: all timeframes from 15m up to 1D are bearish, with the 12H and 30m showing solid trend scores (3/5), reinforcing that the selling pressure is not isolated to a single period. The break below the lower Bollinger Band suggests volatility expansion and a potential acceleration lower, while the oversold readings on RSI and Williams %R indicate that the market is stretched, which could lead to short-term bounces but does not negate the broader bearish structure.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 2526.62 and the nearest support at 1853.62. The resistance level is critical: as long as price remains below it, the bearish bias stays intact. A break below the support would open the door to further downside, but the oversold conditions warrant caution for chasing the move. The confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (MACD, KDJ, SMI) all crossing down, combined with the trend-mode shift, gives this signal a strong probability (74%) of playing out, though the moderate strength suggests the move may be gradual rather than a sharp crash.
Catalysts
  • ▼ All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, providing strong trend alignment.
  • ▼ A dense cluster of bearish signals—Aroon, MACD, KDJ, SMI, and Bollinger Band break—reinforces the downtrend.
  • ▼ Trend-mode shift on the higher timeframe (HT TRENDMODE) indicates a regime change favoring sustained selling.
  • ▼ Bollinger Bands lower break signals increased volatility and potential for continued downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ RSI and Williams %R are in oversold territory, which could lead to a technical bounce or consolidation before further downside.
  • ▲ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting some intraday noise that could cause false breakouts.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 2526.62 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, so watch that level closely.
  • ▲ The signal strength is moderate, not strong, implying the move may lack the momentum for a sharp decline.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,526.62000 2026-10-21
R2 2,777.33000 2026-10-02
R3 2,807.34000 2026-09-21
S1 1,853.62000 2026-08-11
S2 1,822.06000 2026-08-01

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