EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.14 %
Entry
175.778
Target
175.420 +0.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.398 −0.35 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day
  • November 4, 2026EURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 1 day
  • November 4, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.8%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 90%
conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.39
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.31
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.16
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.21
▼ Marubozu Bearish candlestick 1.17

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple retreat signals and a Stochastics cross down align on the 30M, pointing to a strong bearish move.
  • The bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with higher timeframes (4H-1D) showing solid or forming trends.
  • Watch the 175.42000 support; a break below it would confirm the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of 176.39800 resistance would invalidate.
  • Lower timeframes are choppy, so expect possible volatility and false moves in the short term.
The EUR/JPY 30M signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength, backed by a dense cluster of retreat signals across multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) and a trendline retreat, plus a Stochastics KD cross down and Williams %R oversold entry. The confluence of these indicators on the 30M timeframe suggests a coordinated push lower, with the candlestick group adding confirmation. Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15M up to 1D, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H showing solid or forming trends, indicating that the short-term move is part of a broader downtrend. However, the lower timeframes (15M-1H) are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores (1/5), which could mean the immediate momentum is less decisive, but the higher timeframes lend weight to the bearish case.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 176.39800 and support at 175.42000. The retreat signals suggest price is pulling back from a recent high, and a break below the support would likely accelerate the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis. The strong alignment across timeframes, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends, supports the idea that this is not just a scalp but a continuation. Traders should monitor the 175.42000 level as a critical pivot; a decisive break could open the path to lower prices, but a failure to hold below it might signal a bounce. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes warrants caution, as false breaks are possible.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High probability (95%) and very strong strength signal with a dense cluster of retreat indicators.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, especially solid trends on 8H and 12H, supports a sustained downtrend.
  • ▼ The Stochastics KD cross down and Williams %R oversold entry provide additional momentum confirmation.
  • ▼ Proximity to resistance at 176.39800 suggests sellers may defend that level, reinforcing the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15M-1H) are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores, which could lead to erratic price action and false breakouts.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 175.42000 is relatively close; if it holds, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 176.39800 would invalidate the bearish signal, so watch for a close above that level.
  • ▲ The Williams %R oversold entry might indicate short-term exhaustion, potentially leading to a bounce before further downside.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 03:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 176.39800 2026-10-28
R2 176.43300 2026-10-26
S1 175.42000 2026-10-28
S2 175.09800 2026-10-23

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