EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-29 13:00 UTC 14 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

176.255

Target

177.968 +0.97 %

closes in profit

Stop

175.098 −0.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 69 % (19.99) ▼ Bearish 31 % (8.96)

model score 69.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 6h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 6h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 6h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.15
▲	MA Break Up	indicator	2.08
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	1.80
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.70
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.10
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.08
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.03
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.03
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.03
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	0.99
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.98
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	0.84
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	0.82
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	0.74

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

4H bullish signal fires, but higher timeframes (8h/12h) are solidly bearish—likely a counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 176.43300; a break above could shift sentiment, but support at 175.09800 is the invalidation line.
Momentum indicators (RSI, STOCH, CMO) all point up on 4H, yet trend scores across timeframes are weak, signaling fragility.
Watch for price action around support/resistance; a hold above support may allow the 4H bounce to extend.

The 4H EUR/JPY signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCH KD Cross Up, alongside DI and DM Cross Downs. This combination suggests a short-term momentum shift to the upside within the 4H timeframe, with a moderate probability of 69%. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m to 1h timeframes show bullish tendencies, the 2h to 1d timeframes remain bearish, with the 8h and 12h showing solid downtrends. This misalignment implies the bullish signal may represent a counter-trend correction rather than a reversal.

The key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 176.43300 and support at 175.09800. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a move below support would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple cross-ups on the 4H chart suggests some upside potential, but the higher-timeframe bearish pressure could cap gains. Traders should watch for whether the 4H momentum can overcome the 8h/12h downtrend, as a failure to hold above support would likely see the bearish trend resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple 4H indicators (CMO, RSI, STOCH) crossing up simultaneously, creating a confluence of momentum signals.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the 4H move.
▲ WILLR entering overbought territory suggests strong buying pressure on the 4H chart.
▲ The signal's probability of 69% is moderately high, indicating decent statistical support for the bullish scenario.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) show solid bearish trends, which could overpower the 4H bullish correction.
▼ The 2h timeframe is also bearish, adding conflicting pressure just above the signal's timeframe.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 175.09800, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
▼ Trend scores on 30m-4h are weak (1/5), suggesting the bullish momentum may lack follow-through.