EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 16:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.24 %

Entry

1.11634

Target

1.11134 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12267 −0.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 695 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 3h
08:00TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.20
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.07
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is SELL but weak (56% probability) and contradicted by bullish lower timeframes.
The 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, but short-term trends are choppy and sideways.
Key levels: resistance at 1.11685 and support at 1.11134; a break of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.
The signal includes both bearish and bullish indicators, indicating mixed momentum.

The 1H signal on EUR/USD is a SELL with a weak 56% probability, driven by a cluster of bearish indicators: BOP zero cross down, STOCHF KD cross down, and retreats from both EMA 200 and SMA 200. However, the signal is contradicted by the higher timeframe trend, which is bullish on the 15m to 1h and 4h, and bearish only on the 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d. The 1d timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, but the lower timeframes are choppy and sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum alignment. The nearest resistance is at 1.11685 and support at 1.11134, with the current price likely between these levels. The signal suggests a potential pullback from resistance, but the weak strength and mixed trend across timeframes mean the move may be limited.

Key levels to watch are the resistance at 1.11685, which if broken would invalidate the bearish case, and support at 1.11134, which if broken would confirm the downtrend. The presence of bullish signals in the same group (HT PHASOR, HT SINE, COPPOCK, CTI) adds confusion, suggesting the bearish momentum may be fading. Traders should monitor whether the price can hold below resistance and if lower timeframes shift to bearish to confirm the direction.

Catalysts

▼ The 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), providing long-term alignment.
▼ Multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreats) fire simultaneously, increasing confluence.
▼ The 2H and 12H timeframes are bearish with trend forming, supporting a potential shift down.
▼ The price is near resistance, which could act as a selling zone.

Risk Factors

▲ The lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bullish, conflicting with the SELL signal and suggesting a possible bounce.
▲ The signal strength is weak (56%), indicating low conviction.
▲ Several indicators in the signal group are bullish (HT PHASOR, HT SINE, COPPOCK, CTI), which could offset the bearish momentum.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.11685 would invalidate the bearish outlook.