NZD/USD – 1D – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-28 21:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.31 %

Entry

0.56333

Target

0.59877 +6.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55653 −1.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,451 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,451 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CTI OB Exit, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 71 % (7.27) ▼ Bearish 29 % (2.94)

model score 2.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 698 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDEmployment Change q/q●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.5%in 6h
21:45TodayNZDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 5.6%Previous 5.6%in 6h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.12
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.43
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.16
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.94
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 1D NZD/USD are counter to the prevailing bearish trend across multiple timeframes.
Key levels: resistance at 0.59877, support at 0.55653; watch for breaks to confirm or invalidate.
Probability is 71% with moderate strength; treat as a potential corrective bounce, not a trend reversal.
Conflicting higher timeframe trends (bearish) increase risk; use tight risk management.

The bullish signals on the 1D timeframe for NZD/USD present a counter-trend opportunity against the prevailing bearish trend across higher and multiple timeframes. The confluence of indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle, CTI OB Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up, and candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami, Hammer)—suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish at the daily level. However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, while only the 15M and 30M show bullish trends. This misalignment indicates that the bullish signal may be a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend, and the probability of 71% with moderate strength suggests a cautious approach.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.59877 and support at 0.55653. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a failure to hold above support could invalidate the signal. The signal's strength is moderate, and the conflicting higher timeframe trends (bearish) pose a significant risk. Traders should watch for sustained bullish price action and a shift in higher timeframe trends to confirm the reversal. The invalidation level is likely the support at 0.55653; a drop below this would negate the bullish case. Overall, the signal is a high-probability counter-trend move, but the bearish backdrop warrants careful risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators align on the 1D timeframe, including BOP, STOCHRSI, and ICHIMOKU cross-ups.
▲ Candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami, Hammer) suggest buying pressure at the daily level.
▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes show bullish trends, indicating early momentum shift.
▲ Exit from CTI OB (overbought) condition may allow room for upside.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are in solid bearish trends, conflicting with the bullish signal.
▼ The signal may be a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend; resistance at 0.59877 could cap upside.
▼ If support at 0.55653 breaks, the bullish signal is invalidated; watch for that level.
▼ Moderate strength and mixed trend alignment suggest fading momentum is possible.