SOL/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.91 %
Entry
95.640
Target
74.100 +22.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.200 −14.18 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 685 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 685 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +5.19 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.84 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.84 % 17 % at stop avg −6.11 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, TSI Signal Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
60.1 % ↑ +13.6 vs previous candle
MODERATE Position
▲ Bullish 23 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 77 % (16.26)
model score 76.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
SOL/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for SOL/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2 days
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 12h 77%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.67
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.47
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 2.19
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.35
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.28
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.22
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.18
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.08

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong, multi-indicator bearish signal on the 12H chart with 85% probability and very strong strength.
  • All timeframes are bearish, but the 2H and 4H are choppy, so expect possible pullbacks within the downtrend.
  • Watch the 109.20 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
  • The 74.10 support is the critical downside target; a break there could accelerate selling.
The 12H SOL/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including an AROON Strong Downtrend, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI and Williams %R oversold entries, a BBANDS lower band break, and multiple cross-down signals (KDJ, SMI, TSI). This confluence points to sustained downside momentum with very strong strength and 85% probability. The oversold readings suggest the market is stretched, but the breadth of signals indicates the trend is likely to persist rather than reverse immediately.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though conviction varies. The 15m and 30m timeframes show solid to very strong downtrends, while the 8H and 12H align with a solid bearish trend. The 2H and 4H are choppy, and the 1D is still forming, which means the longer-term trend is not fully established. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 109.20, which should cap any bounce, and the nearest support at 74.10, a major downside target. A break below this support would open the door for further declines, while a reclaim of 109.20 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of 11+ bearish signals including AROON, MACD, RSI, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands, KDJ, SMI, and TSI.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 8H, 12H) supports continued downside.
  • ▼ Bollinger Band lower break signals strong momentum and potential for continued volatility to the downside.
  • ▼ Oversold entries (RSI, Williams %R) often precede sharp moves, but in a strong downtrend they can indicate capitulation rather than reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (RSI, Williams %R) may lead to a technical bounce, temporarily stalling the decline.
  • ▲ The 2H and 4H timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could mean the downtrend is not fully synchronized and may face consolidation.
  • ▲ The 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so the longer-term bearish trend is not yet confirmed; a reversal on the daily could invalidate the signal.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 109.20 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and a short squeeze could occur.
Symbol SOL/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 77%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-29 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 109.20000 2026-10-21
R2 124.95000 2026-09-27
S1 74.10000 2026-08-16
S2 70.58000 2026-08-01

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