USD/CAD – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-29 09:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

1.39887

Target

1.37593 +1.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.43000 −2.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 222 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 222 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Flag, EMA 200 Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.48) ▼ Bearish 94 % (23.30)

model score 94.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 21h
13:30TomorrowCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 22h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flagbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.21
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.72
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.69
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.67
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 12H timeframe with high probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators and patterns align: Bear Flag, AROON downtrend, and moving average retreats.
Bearish trend is consistent across most timeframes (1H to 1D), with solid trends on 2H and 1D.
Watch key levels: resistance at 1.43000 and support at 1.37593.

The USD/CAD 12H signal is strongly bearish, with an 88% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of a Bear Flag pattern, AROON Strong Downtrend, and multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA 200, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) indicates a well-established downtrend. The bearish alignment across the 1H to 1D timeframes, with the 2H and 1D showing solid trends, supports the continuation of the bearish move. The 15m and 30m timeframes are slightly bullish and choppy, suggesting short-term noise, but the overall trend is clearly bearish.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.43000, which could act as a barrier to any upward correction, and the nearest support at 1.37593, which is the immediate downside target. The retreat of the EMA 200 and other moving averages reinforces the bearish momentum. Traders should monitor how price behaves around these levels, as a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off resistance might signal a temporary pause.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: bearish from 1H to 1D, with solid trends on 2H and 1D.
▼ Confluence of patterns: Bear Flag, AROON Strong Downtrend, and multiple retreat signals.
▼ Strong trend scores on 2H and 1D (3/5) support the bearish momentum.
▼ The EMA 200 retreat indicates a longer-term bearish shift.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (15m, 30m) are bullish/choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend moves.
▲ If price fails to break below the support at 1.37593, the bearish signal may weaken.
▲ A break above the resistance at 1.43000 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF KD Cross Up leads to a temporary bounce.