USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.11 %
Entry
1.39887
Target
1.40686 +0.57 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.38094 −1.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, T3 Break Up, HMA Break Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 605 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 21h
  • TomorrowCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 22h
  • TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 22h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 80%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 3.16
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.72
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.64
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.58
▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.76
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.75
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.35
▲ RSX OS Exit indicator 1.12
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 2H, but higher timeframes are bearish – watch for conflict resolution.
  • Key resistance at 1.40686 is the immediate upside target; support at 1.39684 is the invalidation level.
  • Multiple indicators align for a short-term bounce, but trend scores on higher timeframes are weak or solid bearish.
  • Monitor if the 2H momentum can break resistance and shift the 4H trend, or if it fades as a correction.
The 2H USD/CAD signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators, including ADXR Trend Strong, CCI OS Exit, and RSX OS Exit, alongside multiple moving average breakouts (ALMA, HMA, T3) and a MIDPOINT Break Up. These together suggest a strong short-term momentum shift to the upside, with the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adding a cyclical confirmation. The confluence of these signals on the 2H timeframe points to a potential reversal or a sharp corrective rally within a broader bearish context.

However, the higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with the 1D showing a solid trend. This creates a conflict: the bullish signal on 2H is counter to the larger bearish trend. The 15m and 30m are mildly bullish but choppy, indicating early momentum. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is a key barrier; a break above could signal a larger shift, but failure to hold above support at 1.39684 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch for whether the 2H bullish momentum can lift the pair above resistance and shift higher timeframes, or if it fades as a counter-trend correction.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (ADXR, CCI, RSX, moving averages) on the 2H timeframe.
  • ▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds cyclical confirmation to the reversal.
  • ▲ The 2H trend score is solid (3/5), indicating a strong trend within that timeframe.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m are bullish, providing early momentum support.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with 1D solid – the bullish signal may be a counter-trend correction.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 1.40686 is close; if it holds, the upside may be limited.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 1.39684, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
  • ▼ Trend scores on 4H and above are weak (2/5), indicating lack of confirmation for a larger reversal.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 80%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-29 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40686 2026-10-28
R2 1.40821 2026-10-21
R3 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.39684 2026-10-23

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