USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-28 20:00 UTC 12 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

1.39971

Target

1.40686 +0.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39684 −0.21 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.73 % per trade 2,520 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,520 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −8.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, RSI OS Exit +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 74 % (8.27) ▼ Bearish 26 % (2.87)

model score 74.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 475 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 15h
12:30TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 15h
12:30TomorrowUSDPersonal Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.9%Previous 0.9%in 15h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.68
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.60
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold and momentum signals suggest a short-term bounce in USD/CAD.
The broader trend is bearish, so any upside is likely corrective unless resistance is broken.
Watch the 1.40686 resistance and 1.39684 support as key levels for direction.
The 12-hour bullish formation is the only higher-timeframe support for the bounce.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold territory, a STOCHF bullish cross, and an ULTOSC oversold exit. These indicators suggest that selling pressure is waning and that a short-term bounce is likely. The HMA Retreat Up and the ER level cross down further support the idea of a corrective move higher within the broader bearish trend.

However, the overall trend structure remains bearish across most timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart. The 12-hour timeframe is the only one showing bullish formation, which could provide some tailwind. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.39684 is the key level to watch. A break above resistance would signal a stronger reversal, but until then, this is best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of oversold exits and bullish crosses on multiple indicators.
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicates a potential pullback within the downtrend.
▲ 12-hour timeframe shows a bullish formation, offering some higher-timeframe support.
▲ Probability score of 74% suggests a relatively high confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across most timeframes could resume and overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is close and could cap upside.
▼ Momentum signals in a downtrend often lead to short-lived corrections.
▼ A break below the 1.39684 support would invalidate the bullish setup.