USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.20 %
Entry
0.82618
Target
0.81916 +0.85 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83127 −0.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish +16 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3h
  • TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 3h
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 27%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.83
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.58
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.47
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.44
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.19
▼ SMA 200 Break Down indicator 2.18
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.98
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 1.96
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 1.93
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.90
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.88
▼ TSI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.87
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.81
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.75
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.62
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.31

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H timeframe, with 94% probability, points to a high-confidence sell setup.
  • The 2H and 15m trends are bearish and forming, but the 30m and 1h are choppy, so expect some volatility.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.81916: a break below would confirm the downtrend, while resistance at 0.83127 is the invalidation zone.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 1d) remain bullish, so the move may face resistance from the larger trend.
The USD/CHF pair has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H timeframe, with a very strong probability of 94%. AROON Strong Downtrend, DI and DM crosses down, MACD Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down all align to confirm a decisive shift in momentum. The confluence of these indicators points to a broad-based bearish push, with the 2H trend forming (2/5) and the 15m also trending bearish, suggesting the move is gaining traction. However, the shorter timeframes (30m, 1h) are choppy/sideways, indicating some hesitation, while the 8h and 1d are still bullish, which could act as a counterweight.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83127 and support at 0.81916. The cluster of signals suggests the pair is likely to test the support, but the bullish higher timeframes (8h, 1d) may provide a buffer. A break below 0.81916 would confirm the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of 0.83127 would signal a failure of the setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ A dense cluster of over 20 bearish signals provides strong confluence across multiple indicator families.
  • ▼ The 2H and 15m trends are both bearish and forming, aligning with the signal direction.
  • ▼ MACD Zero Cross Down and EMA Break Down confirm momentum and price action are in sync.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.83127 is close, providing a clear invalidation level if broken.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 8H and 1D timeframes are still bullish, which could pull the pair back up and stall the downtrend.
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (30m, 1h) are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum in the immediate term.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.83127 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ The high probability (94%) may lead to overconfidence; always manage risk with proper stop-losses.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 27%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83127 2026-10-28
R2 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81916 2026-10-22

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