USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 17:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.63 %

Entry

0.82435

Target

0.81916 +0.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −1.84 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 563 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 563 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 22h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.11
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.07
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	1.95
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.90
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	1.59
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.23
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong 4H SELL signal with 90% probability and multiple breakdown indicators points to a clear bearish shift on this timeframe.
The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bearish, supporting immediate downside momentum, but higher timeframes are choppy and not yet confirming a strong trend.
Watch the 0.83950 resistance as the key invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the signal.
The 0.81916 support is the nearest downside target; a break below it could open the door to further losses.

The 4H USD/CHF signal is a very strong SELL, with a 90% probability and a cluster of over a dozen breakdown signals across moving averages (DX Trend Strong, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus candlestick patterns. This confluence indicates a decisive rejection of higher prices and a shift toward bearish momentum on the 4H timeframe. The breakdown of multiple dynamic indicators simultaneously suggests that the recent price action has broken below key trend-following levels, confirming a loss of upside momentum.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but weak on higher timeframes (1H through 1D all show choppy/sideways with a 1/5 trend score), while the 15m and 30m show more solid or forming bearish trends. This means the immediate momentum is bearish, but the higher timeframes are not yet confirming a strong downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is the immediate invalidation zone; a reclaim of that level would weaken the signal. Support at 0.81916 is the next downside target, but with choppy higher timeframes, price may stall or consolidate before reaching it. Traders should watch for a break below this support to confirm a deeper move, or a bounce off resistance if the bearish momentum fades.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over a dozen breakdown signals on the 4H timeframe, including major moving averages and price midpoints.
▼ Immediate lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, providing short-term momentum alignment.
▼ The signal strength is very strong with a high probability, indicating robust technical confluence.
▼ Candlestick patterns add to the bearish case, reinforcing the breakdown signals.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores, suggesting the bearish move may lack broader confirmation.
▲ The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a clear invalidation level; if price reclaims it, the signal weakens significantly.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 15m/30m trends lose strength, leading to consolidation rather than a sustained sell-off.
▲ The 1H to 1D timeframes may act as a conflicting force if they begin to show bullish or even neutral trends, slowing the downside.