USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 22:00 UTC 14 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

157.798

Target

156.649 +0.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.344 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average −1.09 % per trade 1,316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,316 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −9.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, KAMA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Intraday

▲ Bullish 28 % (10.62) ▼ Bearish 72 % (27.14)

model score 71.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDGDP Sales q/q●●●Forecast 2.7%Previous 2.8%in 13h
12:30TomorrowUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 13h
12:30TomorrowUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.35
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	2.14
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.99
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.24
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.21
▲	Homing Pigeon	candlestick	1.02
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense bearish signal cluster on the 1H aligns with short-term trends (15m-1h) but conflicts with higher timeframes (2h, 8h).
Watch the 157.655 support: a break below confirms the bearish move; a reclaim of 158.344 resistance invalidates it.
The signal is moderate strength, so expect potential for a pullback or consolidation before continuation.
Higher timeframe choppiness suggests the bearish move may be part of a larger sideways range.

The USD/JPY 1H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish technical triggers, with the stochastic K-cross and Williams %R exiting oversold joined by a broad retreat across DEMA, EMA, HT trendline, KAMA, MA, and MAMA price. The confluence of these indicators on the 1H timeframe suggests a coordinated downward push, supported by a bearish alignment on the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts. However, the higher timeframes (2h, 8h) remain bullish, and the 4h, 12h, and 1d are choppy, so the bearish momentum is primarily a short-term phenomenon.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.344 and support at 157.655. A break below the support would confirm the bearish bias, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. The moderate strength and 71% probability indicate a reasonable but not overwhelming edge, and traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe trends that could stall the move.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA) all point to the same direction, increasing confluence.
▼ The stochastic K-cross and Williams %R exit provide momentum confirmation on the 1H.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish, supporting the immediate trend.
▼ The nearest support is within reasonable distance, offering a clear target for the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 8h) are bullish, which could override the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The 4h, 12h, and 1d are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend conviction.
▲ If price reclaims the 158.344 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the stochastic and Williams %R exit are not sustained by volume or news.