USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.22 %
Entry
157.884
Target
158.336 +0.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.075 −1.15 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 605 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3h
  • TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 3h
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 90%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.37
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 2.11
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.71
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.37
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.27
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 1.11
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.09
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.02
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 2H with multiple momentum indicators aligning, but most other timeframes are bearish and choppy.
  • Key battle zone: resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.075; watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish momentum.
  • The signal is likely a counter-trend move within a broader bearish context; treat as tactical, not a trend reversal.
  • Low trend scores across timeframes indicate a lack of clear directional conviction, so risk management is crucial.
The 2H USD/JPY signal has fired a dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators to the upside, including BOP, MOM, and ROC Zero Cross Ups, an ROCR Cross Up, and retreats from the EMA 200, HT Trendline, and SMA 50. This confluence suggests a strong, short-term bullish push within the 2H timeframe, with the indicator group lending weight to the move. However, the broader context is mixed: while the 8H timeframe also shows bullish, the 1H, 4H, and 12H are bearish, and all timeframes are choppy/sideways with low trend scores. The bullish signal is therefore isolated to the 2H and 8H frames, and the overall market lacks clear directional conviction.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.075. The bullish signal aligns with a potential push toward resistance, but the conflicting lower and higher timeframes suggest the move may be counter-trend or a corrective bounce within a broader bearish phase. The strength score is high, yet the choppy conditions across most timeframes argue for caution. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish intent, while a loss of the 2H momentum or a move back toward support would invalidate the signal. Traders should treat this as a tactical opportunity rather than a trend shift, and monitor the higher-timeframe bearish pressure for potential reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple zero-cross and cross-up signals on 2H, indicating strong momentum shift.
  • ▲ Retreats from EMA 200, HT Trendline, and SMA 50 suggest price is bouncing off key dynamic support levels.
  • ▲ The 8H timeframe also shows bullish, providing some alignment for the bullish case.
  • ▲ High signal strength (80%) and strong probability add confidence to the short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Conflicting bearish trends on 1H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes could pull price back down.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions across all timeframes mean the move may lack follow-through.
  • ▼ Resistance at 158.336 is nearby and could cap upside; failure to break it would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ If momentum fades and price falls toward support at 156.075, the signal would be negated.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.33600 2026-10-28
R2 158.60300 2026-10-20
R3 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 156.07500 2026-10-23

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