USD/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +7 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3h
- TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 3h
- TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▲ | QSTICK Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 0.93 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bullish signal on 2H with multiple momentum indicators aligning, but most other timeframes are bearish and choppy.
- Key battle zone: resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.075; watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish momentum.
- The signal is likely a counter-trend move within a broader bearish context; treat as tactical, not a trend reversal.
- Low trend scores across timeframes indicate a lack of clear directional conviction, so risk management is crucial.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.075. The bullish signal aligns with a potential push toward resistance, but the conflicting lower and higher timeframes suggest the move may be counter-trend or a corrective bounce within a broader bearish phase. The strength score is high, yet the choppy conditions across most timeframes argue for caution. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish intent, while a loss of the 2H momentum or a move back toward support would invalidate the signal. Traders should treat this as a tactical opportunity rather than a trend shift, and monitor the higher-timeframe bearish pressure for potential reversal.
- ▲ Confluence of multiple zero-cross and cross-up signals on 2H, indicating strong momentum shift.
- ▲ Retreats from EMA 200, HT Trendline, and SMA 50 suggest price is bouncing off key dynamic support levels.
- ▲ The 8H timeframe also shows bullish, providing some alignment for the bullish case.
- ▲ High signal strength (80%) and strong probability add confidence to the short-term move.
- ▼ Conflicting bearish trends on 1H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes could pull price back down.
- ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions across all timeframes mean the move may lack follow-through.
- ▼ Resistance at 158.336 is nearby and could cap upside; failure to break it would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ If momentum fades and price falls toward support at 156.075, the signal would be negated.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.33600 | 2026-10-28 |
| R2 | 158.60300 | 2026-10-20 |
| R3 | 158.94900 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 156.07500 | 2026-10-23 |