USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 02:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.15 %

Entry

157.776

Target

158.251 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.649 −0.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 17h
15:00TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 17h
13:15November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.90
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.28
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.67
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.27
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning.
Mixed higher timeframe trends: bullish on 2h and 8h, but bearish elsewhere, so expect possible resistance.
Key levels: resistance at 158.25100, support at 157.65500. Watch for a break above resistance to confirm.
High probability (88%) and very strong strength, but be cautious of counter-trend risk.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of momentum and trend indicators, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, and several zero-cross signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR) along with a STOCHF KD Cross Up. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bullish impulse, likely following a period of oversold conditions. The probability is high at 88% with very strong strength, indicating robust alignment among the indicators.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 2-hour and 8-hour timeframes show bullish tendencies, the majority of timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, 12h, 1d) are bearish and choppy, with low trend scores (1/5). This suggests the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is a key level to watch; a break above could confirm the bullish momentum, while failure to hold above support at 157.65500 would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline break up on the 30-minute chart, indicating a shift in short-term structure.
▲ BOP zero cross up and CCI oversold exit suggest buying pressure emerging after a dip.
▲ Multiple zero-cross signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR) and STOCHF cross up reinforce momentum.
▲ Bullish alignment on 2-hour and 8-hour timeframes provides some higher-timeframe support.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends are mostly bearish and choppy, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ Nearest resistance at 158.25100 is close; failure to break may lead to a pullback.
▼ Low trend scores (1/5) on many timeframes indicate weak trend strength, so the bullish move may be short-lived.
▼ Watch the support at 157.65500; a break below would invalidate the bullish signal.