USD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-29 05:00 UTC 36 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.17 %

Entry

158.061

Target

158.949 +0.56 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −1.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 285 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 285 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +16 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 95 % (42.95) ▼ Bearish 5 % (2.12)

model score 95.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 3h
23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 9h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.81
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.73
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.68
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.61
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.44
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.43
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.13
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.54
▼	Downside Gap Three Method	candlestick	1.20
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.04
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.98
▲	Morning Doji Star	candlestick	0.96
▲	Morning Star	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 8H timeframe, but higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so the signal is not yet trend-aligned.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.94900; a break above it would confirm bullish momentum, while losing support at 156.07500 invalidates the signal.
Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes suggest consolidation; expect potential volatility or false moves.
The signal is very strong on 8H, but higher timeframe bearishness is a key risk to monitor.

The USD/JPY 8H signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, DI CROSS Cross Up, DM CROSS Cross Up, MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and DEMA/EMA Retreat Ups, alongside over a dozen additional confirmations. This confluence suggests a strong, broad-based bullish momentum shift on the 8H timeframe, with the probability score of 95% and 'very strong' strength reflecting high internal consistency across oscillators, momentum, and trend-following tools. However, the higher timeframe context is mixed: the 4H, 12H, and 1D trends are bearish, while the 8H itself is bullish but choppy, and lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are bullish but weak (1-2/5 trend scores). This means the signal is primarily an 8H phenomenon, not yet confirmed by longer-term alignment, and the choppy/sideways nature across most timeframes suggests the market is in a consolidation phase rather than a clean trend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.94900 and support at 156.07500. A decisive break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and potentially open the path for further upside, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The bearish higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) act as a counterweight, and the choppy conditions imply that the bullish push may face resistance or lead to a false breakout. Traders should monitor whether the 8H momentum can lift the higher timeframes into bullish alignment, or if the bearish higher trend pulls price back down.

Catalysts

▲ A dense cluster of bullish indicators on the 8H timeframe (BOP, DI/DM CROSS, MACD, STOCHF, WILLR, DEMA/EMA Retreat) with a 95% probability and very strong strength.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are all bullish, providing some short-term support for the move.
▲ Proximity to support at 156.07500 suggests a solid base if price holds, and a break above resistance at 158.94900 could trigger further upside.
▲ The 8H bullish trend, though choppy, is the primary signal timeframe and shows a clear shift from the bearish higher timeframes.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could override the 8H bullish signal and pull price down.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes indicate weak trend strength (1/5), so momentum may fade quickly.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.94900 is a potential ceiling; failure to break above it could lead to a reversal.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 156.07500, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the bearish higher trend could dominate.