AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.21 %
Entry
0.70294
Target
0.70144 +0.21 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70680 −0.55 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 6h
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 6h
  • TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 1h 10%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.62
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.13
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.40
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.36
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.32
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.06
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.04
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 1H chart, led by a trendline break and multiple momentum crosses below midlines.
  • All intraday timeframes (15m–4h) are bearish, aligning with the 1H sell signal.
  • Higher timeframes (8h–1d) remain bullish, so this could be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the 0.70144 support and 0.70431 resistance—the break of either will set the next direction.
The AUD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by multiple momentum oscillators crossing below their midlines (BOP, CMO, RSI) as well as moving-average-based crosses (BBANDS MIDDLE, MAMA). The breadth of confirmation—spanning candlestick, trendline, and indicator groups—points to a strong, coordinated shift in short-term momentum. With all intraday timeframes (15m through 4h) printing bearish trend scores, the immediate path of least resistance is to the downside.

However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, which introduces a potential conflict. The 1D trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the larger uptrend is still developing but not firmly established. This means the bearish move on the 1H could be a corrective pullback within a broader bullish structure rather than the start of a major reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70431 and support at 0.70144. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal and suggest the higher-timeframe bullish bias is reasserting.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down provides a clear structural invalidation point.
  • ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI) crossing below their midlines confirm broad selling pressure.
  • ▼ Moving-average-based crosses (BBANDS MIDDLE, MAMA) add confluence to the bearish case.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across all intraday timeframes (15m–4h) supports the short-term trend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, suggesting the sell-off may be a corrective pullback.
  • ▲ The 1D trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the larger uptrend is not strongly established.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 0.70431 resistance would invalidate the trendline break and signal a return to bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions (trend score 1/5) across all timeframes could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70431 2026-10-30
R2 0.70680 2026-10-29
S1 0.70144 2026-10-29
S2 0.70094 2026-10-27
S3 0.70048 2026-10-23

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