ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED

2026-10-30 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.55 %

Entry

2,237.07

Target

2,526.62 +12.94 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,185.41 −2.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,844 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,844 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.64 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.84 % 22 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, Long Legged Doji, Matching Low

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (11.77) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 32.4 % on average · stopped out 45.1 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 3,698 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2 days
15:00November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.05
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Counter-trend buy signal: the 4H bullish signals are firing against a bearish trend across all timeframes, so expect a bounce, not a reversal.
Watch the 2526.62 resistance: that is the nearest overhead level and a likely rejection zone if the bounce runs out of steam.
No defined support below: the absence of a nearest support level means the downside is open if the bounce fails.
The Matching Low and Long Legged Doji suggest a temporary pause, but the STOCHF KD Cross Up adds short-term momentum.

The 4H signal fires a bullish STOCHF KD Cross Up, a Long Legged Doji, and a Matching Low, all converging at 2026-10-30 05:00 UTC. However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 4H itself showing a 'trend forming' bearish bias (2/5). This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the short-term reversal signals are firing against a dominant downtrend, suggesting a potential corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal.

The confluence of a Long Legged Doji (indicating indecision) and a Matching Low (a two-bar support test) at the same point often marks a temporary pause or a minor bounce. The STOCHF KD Cross Up adds momentum to that bounce. Yet, with no nearest support defined and the nearest resistance at 2526.62, the upside appears limited. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a bearish structure, expecting the bounce to face selling pressure near the resistance. The lack of higher-timeframe bullish alignment and the absence of a defined support level reduce the probability of a sustained move.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of three distinct signals (indicator and candlestick) at the same time and price point.
▲ The Matching Low pattern indicates a potential higher low, which can attract buyers.
▲ The STOCHF KD Cross Up provides a momentum shift from bearish to bullish on the 4H timeframe.
▲ The Long Legged Doji often precedes a reversal when it appears after a downtrend.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, with no higher-timeframe bullish alignment to support a sustained move.
▼ The nearest resistance at 2526.62 is close, limiting upside potential and increasing the chance of a rejection.
▼ No nearest support is defined, meaning invalidation is unclear; a break below the Matching Low would negate the signal.
▼ Trend scores are weak (2/5) on the 4H, indicating the trend is not strongly established, which could lead to choppy price action.