LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED

2026-10-30 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.36 %

Entry

0.00004343

Target

0.00004674 +7.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004208 −3.11 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,844 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,844 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.64 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.84 % 22 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, CCI OS Exit +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 94 % (19.31) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.27)

model score 6.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.9 % vs 32.4 % on average · stopped out 39.7 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 1,954 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 1 day
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 1 day
15:00November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	3.15
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.90
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.83
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.73
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.53

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 4H signals suggest a bounce, but the higher timeframes are bearish.
Resistance at 0.00005 is the immediate hurdle; watch for rejection there.
This is a counter-trend setup — treat it as a short-term trade, not a reversal.
No clear support level means the bounce lacks a solid floor.

The 4H signal for LUN/CUSDT fires a cluster of mean-reversion indicators — CCI exiting oversold, price retreating up from the lower Bollinger Band, a break above the midband, HMA turning up, and an extreme Z-Score exit — while the Ichimoku TK Cross Down suggests the broader bearish trend is still in play. This combination points to a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend rather than a full reversal. The bullish signals are concentrated on the 4H chart, but the higher timeframes remain bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend. The immediate resistance at 0.00005 is the key level to watch; a failure there would likely confirm the bounce is exhausted.

Traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with defined risk. The bullish signals are strong in isolation, but they conflict with the prevailing bearish structure across most timeframes. The 4H trend is only forming, and the 15M is choppy, so momentum is not yet aligned. The lack of a defined support level adds uncertainty — the bounce could stall at any point. A move above 0.00005 would shift the bias, but until then, the path of least resistance remains lower.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple mean-reversion indicators (CCI, BBANDS, ZSCORE) align on the 4H chart.
▲ Price breaking above the midband suggests early bullish momentum.
▲ HMA retreating up adds confirmation of a short-term upswing.
▲ Strong signal strength (83% probability) increases confidence in the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The 12H very strong downtrend argues against a sustained recovery.
▼ If price fails at 0.00005, the bounce may quickly reverse.
▼ No support level means downside could be sharp if the bounce fails.