LUNC/USDT – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.43 %
Entry
0.00004340
Target
0.00004674 +7.70 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004123 −5.00 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.16 % per trade 1,013 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,013 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +4.04 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.34 % 26 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 22 % at stop avg −5.29 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
54.9 % ↑ +19.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 66 % (2.85) ▼ Bearish 34 % (1.49)
model score 65.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 5 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.6 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 31.5 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,114 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
LUNC/USDT  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 1 day
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 8h 66%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (31 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.62
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.20
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.12
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.09
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.01
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.69

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong 8H bullish signal fires against a bearish higher-timeframe trend, making this a counter-trend bounce.
  • Confluence of indicators (BOP, CCI, BBANDS, MIDPRICE, HMA, Bullish Engulfing) points to a powerful oversold bounce.
  • Immediate resistance at 0.00005 is the key level; watch for rejection or break above.
  • No nearest support means limited downside safety if the bounce fails.
The 8H BUY signal for LUN/CUSDT is firing against a backdrop of predominantly bearish higher timeframes, creating a conflicting setup. The signal itself is very strong (100% probability) and is driven by a confluence of indicators: the BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI exiting oversold, retreats from the lower Bollinger Band and MIDPRICE, a HMA retreat, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick. These together suggest a sharp, momentum-driven bounce from deeply oversold conditions on the 8H chart. However, the trend across timeframes shows a clear bearish bias: the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish, with the 12H trend very strong (4/5). Only the 15m and 30m are bullish, and they are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating that the bounce is fragile and not yet backed by higher-timeframe alignment. The nearest resistance sits at 0.00005, which is the immediate hurdle; there is no defined nearest support, suggesting that if the bounce fails, there is little structural support below to catch price. Traders should view this signal as a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The strength of the signal and the confluence of indicators argue for a short-term long opportunity, but the bearish higher timeframes and lack of support make it a high-risk trade. The key level to watch is 0.00005: a break above could shift momentum, but a rejection there would likely signal a resumption of the downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Very strong signal probability (100%) with multiple indicator confluences.
  • ▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick adds confirmation of a potential reversal.
  • ▲ Indicators exiting oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up) suggest momentum shift.
  • ▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bullish, albeit choppy.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are bearish, with 12H very strong trend, arguing against sustained upside.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.00005 is nearby; a rejection there would invalidate the bounce.
  • ▼ Lack of defined support below increases risk if the bounce fails.
  • ▼ Short-term bullish trends are weak (1/5) and choppy, indicating fragility.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 8H
Direction BUY
Conviction 66%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00005 2026-10-25
R2 0.00006 2026-09-27
R3 0.00006 2026-09-23

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