SHIB/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.89 %
Entry
0.000004770
Target
0.000005270 +10.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.000004601 −3.55 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 10 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,844 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,844 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.64 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.84 % 22 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
37.9 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 88 % (12.20) ▼ Bearish 12 % (1.66)
model score 8.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 10 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.6 % vs 32.4 % on average · stopped out 32.0 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,077 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
SHIB/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for SHIB/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 1 day
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 4h 8%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZLMA Break Up indicator 2.21
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 2.10
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.83
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.66
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.55
▲ Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 1.07

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bullish signal cluster fired on the 4H chart, but the higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are still bearish.
  • Watch the 0.00001 resistance: a break above could trigger further upside, while failure keeps the range intact.
  • The 0.00000 support is the invalidation zone; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
  • This is likely a counter-trend bounce, so position sizing and risk management are critical.
The SHI/USDT 4H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals including a CCI oversold exit, a stochastic cross up, a retreat above the lower Bollinger Band, an HMA retreat up, a ZLMA break up, and a bullish Marubozu closing candle. These collectively suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and buyers are stepping in at the lower end of the range. However, the broader trend context remains bearish: the 12H and 1D timeframes show solid downtrends, and even the 4H itself is still classified as bearish. This creates a classic counter-trend bounce setup. The immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 0.00001; a decisive break above that would signal a stronger reversal attempt. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.00000 is a psychological and technical floor—if that fails, the bullish setup is invalidated. Given the very strong signal strength (86% probability) but conflicting higher timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold indicators (CCI, Stochastic) are turning up, suggesting a momentum shift.
  • ▲ Price retreating above the lower Bollinger Band and HMA/ZLMA break ups indicate buying pressure.
  • ▲ A bullish Marubozu closing candle shows strong bullish conviction at the current level.
  • ▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with an 86% probability, adding confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across higher timeframes (12H, 1D) is bearish, which could cap upside.
  • ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are also bearish, indicating that the bounce may be short-lived.
  • ▼ If the 0.00000 support is broken, the bullish signal is invalidated and a deeper decline could follow.
  • ▼ Nearby resistance at 0.00001 may act as a strong selling zone, limiting the move.
Symbol SHIB/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00001 2026-10-21
R2 0.00001 2026-10-12
R3 0.00001 2026-10-04
S1 0.00000 2026-10-24

Tags

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