USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 20:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %

Entry

157.705

Target

158.127 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.649 −0.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, HT SINE Cross Up, QQE Midline Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 881 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 22h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.65
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 30M clash with a strongly bearish trend across all timeframes.
Watch resistance at 158.127 and support at 157.603 as key decision levels.
This may be a short-term counter-trend bounce, not a lasting reversal.
Probability is moderate (68%)—consider scaling position size accordingly.

The USD/JPY 30M signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, HT SINE Cross Up, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle, AO Zero Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down, KST Zero Cross Down, and QQE Midline Cross Up—suggesting a short-term shift toward buying pressure. However, the broader trend context is starkly bearish across all timeframes, from 15M to 1D, with choppy/sideways price action and a trend score of only 1/5. This creates a conflicting picture: the signal indicates a potential counter-trend bounce, but the higher timeframes are firmly bearish, so any bullish move may be limited in scope and duration.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 158.127 and support at 157.603. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the dominant downtrend. Given the moderate strength (68% probability) and the overwhelming bearish backdrop, traders should treat this as a tactical, short-term opportunity rather than a trend reversal. The signal's confluence across multiple indicator families adds some weight, but the lack of alignment with higher timeframes is a significant cautionary factor.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicator families fire simultaneously (BOP, SMA, HT, QQE, etc.).
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up and AO Zero Cross Down both support upward momentum.
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up suggests price recovering from a moving-average low.
▲ Signal strength is moderate but with a high probability score.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes from 15M to 1D are bearish, so the higher timeframe trend opposes the signal.
▼ Choppy/sideways price action (1/5 trend score) indicates low momentum and potential for false signals.
▼ If support at 157.603 breaks, the bullish thesis is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Resistance at 158.127 is nearby and could cap upside if not decisively broken.