USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
15 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
157.554
Target
156.649 +0.57 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.127 −0.36 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Symmetrical Triangle, Trendline Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.94) ▼ Bearish 97 % (61.23)
model score 96.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 5h
  • TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 6h
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.47
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.54
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.94
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 1.68
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The signal is strongly bearish with multiple confirmations from trendlines, patterns, and indicators.
  • All timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy and lack strong trend momentum.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.12700 and support at 156.64900.
  • A break below support would reinforce the bearish outlook; a reclaim of resistance would signal invalidation.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of a Trendline Break Down, a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, and multiple indicator crossovers—including ADXR Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down—points to a decisive shift in momentum. The breakdown of the symmetrical triangle, a classic continuation pattern, suggests that the prior consolidation has resolved to the downside, while the trendline break confirms the bearish breakout. The RSI midline cross down indicates that momentum is now on the bearish side, and the other crossovers reinforce the selling pressure. This is a high-conviction signal, but the broader trend context is less supportive: while all timeframes are bearish, the higher timeframes (2h through 1d) are choppy and sideways with low trend scores (1/5). This means the bearish momentum is strong on the lower timeframes but may struggle to sustain itself against the lack of a clear directional trend on higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 158.12700 and support at 156.64900 provide the immediate levels to watch; a move below support would confirm continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down and Symmetrical Triangle breakdown provide a clear bearish breakout.
  • ▼ Multiple indicator crossovers (RSI, BOP, CMO, STOCHF, BBANDS) all point in the same direction.
  • ▼ All timeframes are consistently bearish, even if higher timeframes are choppy.
  • ▼ Strong signal probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2h-1d) are choppy/sideways with low trend scores, suggesting weak trend support.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 158.12700 is not far above; a reclaim could invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Fading momentum on higher timeframes could lead to a sideways consolidation rather than a sustained decline.
  • ▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or a break back above the trendline/triangle to negate the signal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-30 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.12700 2026-10-29
R2 158.33600 2026-10-28
S1 156.64900 2026-10-26
S2 156.31100 2026-10-23

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