USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
34 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
157.267
Target
156.649 +0.39 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.747 −0.31 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,675 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,675 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, ZLMA Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,974 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 4 % (1.06) ▼ Bearish 96 % (24.87)
model score 95.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days
  • November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.36
▼ ZLMA Break Down indicator 2.30
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.94
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.83
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.53
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.14
▲ Matching Low candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on USD/JPY 30m with multiple indicators aligning.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, though higher timeframes are choppy.
  • Watch resistance at 157.74700; a break above invalidates the setup.
  • Support at 157.11800 is the immediate downside target.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a strong bearish signal, with a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators aligning to the downside. The STOCH KD Cross Down and EMA Retreat Down are joined by retreats from the HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, and SMA, alongside a MIDPRICE Break Down. The HT TRENDMODE shift to trend further confirms the bearish bias. This cluster of signals suggests that sellers are in control and that the recent pullback has likely ended, with the pair now poised to resume its downtrend.

Across the timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 15m through 2h charts all showing a forming downtrend. The higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are also bearish but choppy/sideways, indicating that the larger trend is not as strong but still supports the downside. The nearest resistance at 157.74700 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 157.11800 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further declines.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (STOCH, EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA retreats, MIDPRICE break).
  • ▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to trend supports the bearish move.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 2h) all bearish.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish bias on higher timeframes, even if choppy.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could limit downside momentum.
  • ▲ A break above the 157.74700 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the pair approaches the 157.11800 support and bounces.
  • ▲ The trend is still 'forming' on lower timeframes, so confirmation is not yet complete.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-30 14:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.74700 2026-10-30
R2 158.12700 2026-10-29
R3 158.33600 2026-10-28
S1 157.11800 2026-10-30
S2 156.64900 2026-10-26

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