ADA/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.73 %
Entry
0.1925
Target
0.1712 +11.06 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.2824 −46.70 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 696 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 696 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +5.15 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.85 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.87 % 17 % at stop avg −6.14 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, Bearish Engulfing

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Position
▲ Bullish 18 % (1.35) ▼ Bearish 82 % (6.18)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
ADA/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 16h
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 16h
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 12h 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.35
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.22

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: Bearish Engulfing, BOP Zero Cross Down, and momentum crosses all point lower.
  • Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H is solid, with very strong bearish trends on the higher timeframes.
  • Key resistance at 0.28240 is the level to watch; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
  • Immediate support at 0.19030 is the main downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
The 12H chart for ADA/USDT is flashing a confluence of bearish signals, led by a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern and a BOP Zero Cross Down, indicating sellers are in control and buying pressure is waning. The STOCH and STOCHF KD crosses add momentum confirmation, though the STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a minor short-term bounce could occur before the downtrend resumes. Overall, the signal is strong with an 82% probability, supported by a bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 8H and 12H trends rated as very strong (4/5).

The broader trend structure is decisively bearish, with the 4H showing a solid trend and the 8H and 12H confirming strong downward momentum. The 1D trend is still forming, indicating the larger daily picture is not yet fully committed, but the intermediate timeframes are aligned. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.28240, which now acts as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 0.19030, a critical downside target. A break below support would open the door for further declines, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Bearish Engulfing pattern on the 12H chart signals strong selling pressure.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms a shift in buying/selling pressure to the downside.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H, with very strong bearish scores on the higher timeframes.
  • ▼ High signal probability (82%) and strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicates a potential short-term bounce, which could delay the move down.
  • ▲ 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so the daily bias is not fully bearish; a reversal on the daily could negate the signal.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.28240, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on the 30m to 2H timeframes could lead to false breakouts or range-bound action.
Symbol ADA/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-31 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.28240 2026-10-06
S1 0.19030 2026-09-16
S2 0.18940 2026-08-30
S3 0.17120 2026-08-18

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