ETH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.37 %
Entry
2,240.00
Target
2,221.73 +0.82 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,391.55 −6.77 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 9 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,872 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,872 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.63 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.85 % 21 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.9 % ↑ +16.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 41 % (8.69) ▼ Bearish 59 % (12.59)
model score 59.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 10 candles
ETH/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 22h
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 22h
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 4h 59%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.85

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCHF, MAMA, Bearish Engulfing) align on the 4H chart, indicating strong selling momentum.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with solid trend formation on higher timeframes, supporting the downside bias.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 2391.55; a rejection there would reinforce the bearish outlook.
  • The very strong trend strength and 100% probability suggest high conviction, but always manage risk.
The 4H chart for ETH/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, a MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern. This confluence of momentum, trend, and price action signals points to strong selling pressure, reinforced by a very strong trend score and 100% probability. Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, with solid trend readings on the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts, while lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy but still bearish. The 1D timeframe shows a trend forming, suggesting the bearish move may have room to develop. The nearest resistance sits at 2391.55, and a break below the current support could open the path for further downside. Traders should monitor whether price respects this resistance and watch for any reversal signals that could invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of four distinct bearish signals (indicator and candlestick) on the 4H timeframe.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 12H.
  • ▼ Price action shows a Bearish Engulfing pattern, a classic reversal signal at resistance levels.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP and STOCHF) confirm the bearish shift, adding weight to the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe is only 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the larger trend is not fully established and could reverse.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 2391.55, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the market enters a consolidation phase, given the choppy conditions on shorter timeframes.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 59%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-31 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,391.55000 2026-10-28
R2 2,526.62000 2026-10-21
R3 2,579.88000 2026-10-12

Tags

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