BCH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
43 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %
Entry
283.00
Target
263.30 +6.96 %
closes in profit
Stop
304.80 −7.70 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,872 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,872 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.63 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.85 % 21 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, EMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 7 % (2.02) ▼ Bearish 93 % (28.96)
model score 93.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
BCH/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for BCH/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 1 day
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 2.55
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.43
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.36
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.00
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ SMA Break Down indicator 1.82
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.45
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.44
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.41
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.12
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.10
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.07
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 4H chart with 93% probability and very strong strength.
  • All timeframes show bearish bias, but higher timeframes are choppy, so expect potential consolidation.
  • Watch the 304.80 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish setup.
  • First downside target is the 263.30 support; a break below could accelerate selling.
The BCH/USDT 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including DEMA Retreat Down, EMA Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, and SMA Break Down, among others. This confluence of trend-following indicators points to a strong downside momentum shift, with the probability rated at 93% and strength very strong. The bearish alignment is consistent across all timeframes, from 15m up to 1d, though the higher timeframes (2H and above) are characterized as choppy/sideways, which may temper the sustainability of the move. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 304.80, which now acts as a pivot for any bounce, and the nearest support at 263.30, which is the first major downside target. A break below support could open further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, MA, SMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all aligned bearish.
  • ▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down adds a structural bearish signal, increasing confluence.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, reinforcing the direction.
  • ▼ Very strong trend score and high probability suggest robust momentum behind the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or range-bound behavior.
  • ▲ A daily close above the 304.80 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price approaches the 263.30 support, leading to consolidation or a bounce.
  • ▲ The dense cluster of signals may already be priced in, reducing the potential for further downside.
Symbol BCH/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-01 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 304.80000 2026-10-28
R2 322.70000 2026-10-03
S1 263.30000 2026-10-30
S2 256.20000 2026-10-15

Tags

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