DOT/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +1.37 %
Entry
0.9470
Target
0.8690 +8.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.0430 −10.14 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,899 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,899 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.78 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.82 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.0 % ↓ −24.8 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 12 % (4.10) ▼ Bearish 88 % (30.95)
model score 14.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
DOT/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for DOT/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 17h
  • November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
  • November 4, 2026USDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 14%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.86
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.54
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.19
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of 12+ bearish signals across momentum, trend, and cycle indicators points to strong selling pressure.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 1d are bearish, with 30m, 8h, and 12h showing trend formation—momentum is building.
  • Watch the 1.04300 resistance as the invalidation zone; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup.
  • The 0.86900 support is the primary downside target; a break could accelerate the decline.
The DOT/USDT 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, HT SINE Cross Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, and KDJ OS Exit. This confluence of momentum, trend, and cycle-based signals points to a strong downward push, with the very strong strength and 87% probability reflecting broad alignment across multiple indicator families. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, though the choppy/sideways labels on the 15m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 1d suggest that the move is not yet a clean trend; the 30m, 8h, and 12h are forming trends, indicating that momentum is building from the lower timeframes upward. The nearest resistance at 1.04300 is the immediate overhead barrier that sellers need to defend, while the nearest support at 0.86900 is the key downside target where the move could stall. A break below support would open the path for a more sustained decline, but until then, the bearish signals suggest continued downward pressure.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, cycle) all firing bearish simultaneously.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with higher timeframes (8h, 12h) showing trend formation.
  • ▼ Price retreating from the HT TRENDLINE and MIDPRICE, indicating a rejection of higher levels.
  • ▼ Stochastic RSI and KDJ exiting overbought conditions, signaling momentum shift to the downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways labels on many timeframes suggest weak trend conviction; the move could stall or reverse abruptly.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 1.04300 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 0.86900 is a major level; if it holds, the downside may be limited and a bounce could occur.
  • ▲ Momentum oscillators are already stretched; a failure to break support could lead to a sharp corrective bounce.
Symbol DOT/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-01 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.04300 2026-10-28
R2 1.20300 2026-10-23
R3 1.21300 2026-10-16
S1 0.86900 2026-10-30

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