ICP/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −2.39 %
Entry
2.5150
Target
2.6870 +6.84 %
closes in profit
Stop
2.2720 −9.66 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,899 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,899 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.78 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.82 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, TEMA Retreat Up, COPPOCK Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −3.1 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing
▲ Bullish 92 % (24.87) ▼ Bearish 8 % (2.05)
model score 3.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 39.1 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,015 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ICP/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for ICP/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 17h
  • November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
  • November 4, 2026USDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 4%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.74
▲ TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.59
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.56
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.38
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.36
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.30
▲ High Wave Bullish candlestick 1.02
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on 4H are firing but against a solid bearish trend on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H).
  • The trendline break and BOP zero cross up are the most significant bullish triggers, but momentum oscillators crossing zero down suggest caution.
  • Resistance at 2.68700 is the key hurdle; support at 2.27200 is the invalidation zone.
  • Only the 1H timeframe shows a bullish bias, and it is weak and choppy, so confirmation is lacking.
The 4H chart for ICP/USDT has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, alongside momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing zero downward and a TEMA Retreat Up. This mixed signal set suggests an early attempt to reverse the prevailing bearish trend, with the trendline break acting as the primary structural cue. However, the broader timeframe picture remains bearish: the 4H, 8H, and 12H all show solid downtrends (3/5 strength), while the 1D is just forming a bearish trend (2/5). Only the 1H shows a bullish bias, but it is choppy and weak (1/5). This indicates that the bullish signals are counter-trend and may lack momentum confirmation from higher timeframes.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 2.68700 and support at 2.27200. A sustained move above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below support would invalidate the reversal attempt and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the 70% probability and moderate strength, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger bearish structure, using tight risk management and watching for confirmation from higher timeframe momentum.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up on 4H provides a clear structural shift.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure.
  • ▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up and TEMA Retreat Up suggest short-term momentum building.
  • ▲ Coppock Curve zero cross up adds a longer-term bullish signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are in solid bearish trends, which could overpower the 4H reversal.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing zero down indicate underlying weakness.
  • ▼ A break below support at 2.27200 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The 1H trend is only weakly bullish and choppy, so the reversal lacks strong intraday confirmation.
Symbol ICP/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-01 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2.68700 2026-10-28
R2 2.99100 2026-10-21
R3 3.11900 2026-10-16
S1 2.27200 2026-10-30

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