AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 02:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.39 %

Entry

110.778

Target

109.489 +1.16 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −0.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, QSTICK Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 5h
00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 6h
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.96
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	0.96
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.62

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum signals fired on the 4H chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
Trend alignment is bearish across most timeframes, with the 2H showing a solid downtrend.
Watch the 111.56400 resistance; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 109.48900 support is the key downside target; a break could accelerate selling.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish technical triggers, with eleven indicators crossing below key thresholds, including the BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down. This synchronized momentum shift is reinforced by the SMA Retreat Down and BIAS Zero Cross Down, indicating that price is pulling back from recent highs and that selling pressure is building across multiple oscillators. The candlestick group adds confluence, suggesting that the bearish momentum is being confirmed by price action.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 2H chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 1H showing a forming trend (2/5), while the 4H itself is still bullish but choppy. This mixed picture suggests that the sell signal is likely a counter-trend move within the larger 4H bullish structure, but the strong alignment on the lower timeframes and the sheer number of signals point to a meaningful downside correction. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.56400, which must hold to keep the bearish case intact, and the nearest support at 109.48900, a break of which would open the door for further downside.

Catalysts

▼ Eleven indicators fired simultaneously, including RSI, CMO, and STOCHF crosses down, showing strong momentum confluence.
▼ The candlestick group adds price action confirmation to the bearish signal.
▼ Lower timeframes (1H, 2H) show trend formation and solid trend, supporting the sell bias.
▼ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with an 87% probability.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H timeframe is still bullish, so this sell signal may be a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ If price reclaims the 111.56400 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 1H trend fails to develop further and price stalls.
▲ The nearest support at 109.48900 is a significant level; a bounce there could trap sellers.