AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
44 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
0.70093
Target
0.70408 +0.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69748 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +25% Scalping
▲ Bullish 100 % (22.55) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 10.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 1h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 1h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 1h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.79
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.97
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.87
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.85
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.75
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.73
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.66
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Cluster of bullish signals on the 30M chart suggests short-term buying pressure.
  • Resistance at 0.70408 is the immediate upside barrier; a break above could extend gains.
  • Mixed trend alignment—lower timeframes bearish, higher timeframes bullish—points to a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch for a hold above the broken trendline to confirm the signal.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and reinforced by momentum oscillators (STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit) plus volatility contraction indicators (HMA Retreat Up, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat). This confluence suggests short-term buying pressure is building after a period of compression. However, the broader trend context is mixed: lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are still bearish with trend-forming scores, while higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are bullish but choppy. The signal is therefore best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger consolidation, with the nearest resistance at 0.70408 acting as the immediate upside target and invalidation zone.

Traders should watch whether price can sustain momentum above the broken trendline and push toward 0.70408. A failure to hold the breakout level or a stall near resistance would negate the bullish setup. Given the mixed higher-timeframe alignment, this signal is likely a tactical long rather than a trend reversal. The probability score is high, but the conflicting lower-timeframe trends warrant caution and tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillator crossovers (STOCH KD, KDJ) and oversold exits (WILLR, KDJ) confirm momentum shift.
  • ▲ Volatility contraction indicators (HMA, ACCBANDS, KELTNER) suggest a squeeze that often precedes directional moves.
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up provides a clear structural trigger.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are bullish, offering potential longer-term support.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m to 2h) remain bearish, which could limit upside.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.70408 may cap gains; a rejection there would invalidate the breakout.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends are only 'trend forming' or 'choppy', lacking strong directional conviction.
  • ▼ If price falls back below the broken trendline, the signal loses validity.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70408 2026-10-30
R2 0.70431 2026-10-30
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29

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