USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.15 %
Entry
1.39848
Target
1.40686 +0.60 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.38059 −1.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, SMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 19h
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 19h
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 7%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 3.07
▲ SMA Break Up indicator 2.67
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.47
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.40
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.38
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.31
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.97
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.54
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.02
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.01
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (CMO, MOM, ROC, RSI, STOCHF) fired upward crossovers simultaneously, indicating strong short-term bullish momentum.
  • The 2H signal is counter-trend: higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this is likely a bounce within a downtrend.
  • Watch the 1.40686 resistance — a break above could extend the bounce; a break below 1.39684 support would invalidate the signal.
  • The 15m timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, but 30m and 1h are choppy, so expect possible whipsaw.
The USD/CAD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators — CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCHF all crossed their midlines or zero lines upward, while WILLR entered the overbought zone and DEMA showed a retreat up. This is a very strong, high-probability (95%) buy signal on the 2H timeframe, reinforced by a bullish candlestick pattern. However, the broader trend context is mixed: the 15m timeframe shows a solid bullish trend, but the 30m and 1h are choppy/sideways, and the 2H through 1D timeframes remain bearish. This suggests the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, which can be sharp but may face resistance.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.40686 and nearest support at 1.39684. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could signal a deeper correction, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader bearish trend. Given the conflicting higher timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal. The confluence of multiple momentum oscillators firing together is a strong short-term trigger, but the bearish daily trend and forming bearish trends on higher timeframes argue for caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ A rare confluence of 11+ momentum indicators all crossing up on the 2H timeframe, giving a very strong signal strength.
  • ▲ The bullish candlestick pattern adds confirmation to the momentum shift.
  • ▲ The 15m timeframe is in a solid bullish trend, providing short-term alignment with the signal.
  • ▲ The signal probability is rated 95%, reflecting high historical reliability of this combination.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H through 1D) are bearish, so the bounce could be short-lived and face selling pressure near resistance.
  • ▼ The 30m and 1h trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction and potential for false breakouts.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.39684 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend.
  • ▼ Momentum oscillators are already overbought (WILLR OB entry), which could lead to a pullback if buying momentum fades.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40686 2026-10-28
R2 1.40821 2026-10-21
R3 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.39684 2026-10-23

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