USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

1.39845

Target

1.39418 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40148 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 19h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 19h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.62
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.18
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30M chart suggest a pullback toward support at 1.39418.
Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, but lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are still bullish, creating a mixed picture.
Resistance at 1.39922 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Signal strength is weak (62% probability), so risk management is essential.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including the EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, a KDJ Overbought Exit, and an HMA Retreat Down, alongside candlestick patterns like the Long Legged Doji and Matching Low. These signals collectively suggest a short-term pullback from recent highs, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 1.39418. The bearish momentum is supported by the alignment of multiple timeframes: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts all show bearish trends, while the 1H is choppy but not strongly bullish. However, the 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish, indicating that the sell signal is counter-trend on the lower timeframes and may be a corrective move rather than a reversal.

Traders should watch the key resistance at 1.39922, which aligns with the recent swing high and the 200-period moving averages. A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup, while a failure to hold below the support could signal a deeper correction. The overall trend structure across higher timeframes is bearish, but the immediate lower-timeframe bullishness introduces uncertainty. The signal's probability is 62% with weak strength, so execution should be cautious, and confirmation from price action near the resistance is advisable.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (EMA 200, SMA 200, KDJ, HMA) align on the 30M chart.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Matching Low) add confluence to the bearish signal.
▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, supporting the overall downtrend.
▼ The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, reinforcing the longer-term bias.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are bullish, which could lead to a bounce instead of a sustained decline.
▲ The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, lacking a clear trend, which may reduce momentum.
▲ Resistance at 1.39922 is nearby; a break above this level would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (62%), increasing the chance of a false or shallow move.