USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.61 %
Entry
0.82441
Target
0.81937 +0.61 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83127 −0.83 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCHFUnemployment Rate●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 13h
  • TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 19h
  • TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 2h 93%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.67
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.04
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.64
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.47
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.47
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.15
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.10
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum and trend indicators align bearish on the 2H, with overbought exits and moving average retreats.
  • All timeframes show a bearish bias, though the trend is still forming on the higher frames.
  • Key resistance at 0.83127; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Primary downside target is support at 0.81937; a break below could open further downside.
The USD/CHF 2H signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The AROON Cross Up and AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicate recent upward momentum has stalled, while the BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure dominating. The CCI and STOCH overbought exits, combined with the STOCHF KD Cross Down, reinforce a bearish reversal from overbought conditions. The EMA 200 Retreat Down and KAMA Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from key moving averages, adding weight to the sell signal.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though the trend is still forming on the 2H and 4H charts. The 15m and 30m are choppy, suggesting a lack of strong momentum, but the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) all show trend formation, supporting the bearish outlook. The nearest resistance at 0.83127 is a key level to watch; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. The nearest support at 0.81937 is the primary downside target. A move below this level would confirm further downside potential.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH) suggest a high probability of a bearish reversal.
  • ▼ EMA 200 and KAMA retreats confirm price is pulling back from key moving averages.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish bias across all timeframes, with trend formation on the 2H and 4H.
  • ▼ BOP zero cross down indicates selling pressure is building.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m are choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 0.83127 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ The trend is still forming on higher timeframes, so momentum may not be fully established.
  • ▲ Watch for any bullish reversal signals on the 2H, such as a bullish crossover or an oversold bounce.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-02 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83127 2026-10-28
R2 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81937 2026-10-30
S2 0.81916 2026-10-22

Tags

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