USD/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up +11 more
Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1h
- TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 1h
- TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 1h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 3.26 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Break Up | indicator | 3.15 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Break Up | indicator | 3.05 |
| ▲ | DEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.72 |
| ▲ | ALMA Break Up | indicator | 2.71 |
| ▲ | T3 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▲ | FISHER Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▲ | KELTNER MID Cross Up | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | Closing Marubozu Bullish | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart, but it is a counter-trend move against higher timeframe bearishness.
- Key resistance at 158.336 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
- Support at 156.075 is the critical level—losing it invalidates the bullish signal.
- Higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bearish, so treat this as a potential bounce, not a confirmed trend reversal.
However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, while the 1H and lower timeframes are bullish but choppy. This creates a conflicting picture—the 2H signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.336 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a deeper reversal, while failure to hold above it would keep the broader bearish bias intact. The nearest support at 156.075 is the invalidation zone for the bullish move. Traders should watch for sustained price action above the 2H moving averages and a shift in higher timeframe trend scores to confirm the reversal.
- ▲ Multiple indicators (CMO, MACD, RSI, BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all fired bullish at the same time, indicating strong momentum convergence on the 2H timeframe.
- ▲ Price breaking above the DEMA and MAMA suggests short-term trend acceleration.
- ▲ The signal is rated very strong with 100% probability, reflecting high internal consistency among the indicators.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 158.336 is a major barrier; if price fails to break it, the bullish move may fizzle.
- ▼ The bullish signals are on a 2H timeframe only; without confirmation from higher timeframes, the move could be a short-term bounce within a downtrend.
- ▼ If price falls below support at 156.075, the bullish signal is invalidated and the broader downtrend likely resumes.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.33600 | 2026-10-28 |
| R2 | 158.60300 | 2026-10-20 |
| R3 | 158.94900 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 156.07500 | 2026-10-23 |