USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.13 %
Entry
157.679
Target
158.336 +0.42 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.075 −1.02 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1h
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 1h
  • TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 24%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 3.26
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 3.15
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 3.05
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.72
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.71
▲ T3 Retreat Up indicator 2.36
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 2.33
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 2.08
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 2.06
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.94
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart, but it is a counter-trend move against higher timeframe bearishness.
  • Key resistance at 158.336 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
  • Support at 156.075 is the critical level—losing it invalidates the bullish signal.
  • Higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bearish, so treat this as a potential bounce, not a confirmed trend reversal.
The USD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals (CMO Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, DEMA Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, MIDPRICE Break Up, plus six more), all converging at the same time. This breadth of confirmation suggests a strong momentum shift on the 2H timeframe, with price breaking above multiple moving averages and momentum oscillators turning upward from oversold or neutral levels. The signal strength is rated very strong, with probability at 100%, indicating high alignment among the indicators on this timeframe.

However, the higher timeframes tell a different story: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, while the 1H and lower timeframes are bullish but choppy. This creates a conflicting picture—the 2H signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.336 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a deeper reversal, while failure to hold above it would keep the broader bearish bias intact. The nearest support at 156.075 is the invalidation zone for the bullish move. Traders should watch for sustained price action above the 2H moving averages and a shift in higher timeframe trend scores to confirm the reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (CMO, MACD, RSI, BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all fired bullish at the same time, indicating strong momentum convergence on the 2H timeframe.
  • ▲ Price breaking above the DEMA and MAMA suggests short-term trend acceleration.
  • ▲ The signal is rated very strong with 100% probability, reflecting high internal consistency among the indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 158.336 is a major barrier; if price fails to break it, the bullish move may fizzle.
  • ▼ The bullish signals are on a 2H timeframe only; without confirmation from higher timeframes, the move could be a short-term bounce within a downtrend.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 156.075, the bullish signal is invalidated and the broader downtrend likely resumes.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 24%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-01 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.33600 2026-10-28
R2 158.60300 2026-10-20
R3 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 156.07500 2026-10-23

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