USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.20 %

Entry

157.786

Target

156.075 +1.08 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.336 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), HMA Retreat Down, ADX Trend Weak +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 5h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.40
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.08
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.73
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.42
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators align for a short-term bearish move on USD/JPY 2H, but strength is weak.
Timeframe trends are mixed: lower and higher timeframes bearish, middle timeframes bullish but weak.
Key support at 156.075 and resistance at 158.336 define the range; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
Signal probability is 63%, so risk management is essential; a close above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

The USD/JPY 2H signal is a SELL with a 63% probability and weak strength, driven by a cluster of indicators: ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, HT SINE Cross Up, DPO Zero Cross Down, KST Signal Cross Up, SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Down, plus additional signals from Fibonacci and candlestick groups. The confluence of these signals suggests a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish context, as the 30m to 4h timeframes are bullish but with weak trend scores (1-2/5), indicating choppy conditions. The 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, with the higher timeframes showing bearish but choppy trends, which adds weight to the downside bias.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.075. A break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a failure to hold below resistance may invalidate the signal. Given the weak trend strength and mixed timeframe alignment, the signal should be treated as a tactical short-term opportunity rather than a strong directional call. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the momentum indicators for confirmation or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (ADX, BOP, STOCH, DPO, HMA) all pointing down.
▼ Bearish trend on 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes supports the downside bias.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signals add extra confluence to the bearish case.
▼ The KST and Squeeze signals suggest momentum is turning lower, with the HMA retreat indicating price pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m-4h) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ Weak trend strength (ADX weak) means the move may lack momentum and could stall.
▲ A close above resistance at 158.336 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions across most timeframes increase the risk of false signals.