USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-02 01:00 UTC 44 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

157.805

Target

158.127 +0.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,720 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,720 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (28.13) ▼ Bearish 13 % (4.21)

model score 7.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 663 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 12h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 12h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 12h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 01:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.67
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.25
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, led by a Stochastic Fast KD cross up and multiple retreat-up indicators, suggests short-term buying momentum.
The bullish trend is only forming on the 15m and 30m timeframes, while higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.12700; a break above could extend the bounce, while the nearest support at 156.96200 is the key invalidation level.
Given the conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity with tight risk management.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Stochastic Fast KD cross up and a series of retreat-up signals from DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MAMA price. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to renewed buying pressure at the shorter timeframe. The immediate trend is bullish on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts, with trend strength scores of 2/5, indicating the move is still in its early formation stage. However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 1-hour chart showing only a weak bullish bias and the 2-hour through daily charts all bearish. This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term bullish signals are firing against the broader downtrend, suggesting the move may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.12700, which bulls need to clear to confirm momentum, and the nearest support at 156.96200, which must hold to keep the bullish setup valid. A break below that support would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a resumption of the larger bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals from different indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Short-term trend alignment: both 15m and 30m charts are bullish, supporting the immediate move.
▲ The Stochastic Fast KD cross up is a classic momentum trigger, often leading to follow-through in the direction of the cross.
▲ Retreat-up signals from DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MAMA price indicate that price is pulling back to dynamic support levels within an uptrend, which can attract buyers.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts all show bearish trends, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 1H chart is only weakly bullish (choppy/sideways), so the bullish momentum may not have enough higher-timeframe support to sustain a strong rally.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 156.96200, the bullish setup is invalidated and the larger downtrend is likely to resume.
▼ The trend strength scores are low (2/5 or 1/5), indicating that the trends are not yet well-established, increasing the risk of false signals.