AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

0.69715

Target

0.69587 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70213 −0.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, MA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 12 % (5.50) ▼ Bearish 88 % (40.04)

model score 87.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 3h
22:00TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 10h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.13
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A Descending Triangle breakdown on the 30-minute chart signals a continuation of the downtrend.
Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, STOCHF) are aligned bearish, reinforcing the sell signal.
Trend alignment is solid across 15m to 2h timeframes, with higher timeframes forming bearish trends.
Key resistance to watch is 0.70213; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown and reinforced by a cascade of momentum and trend indicators, including BOP, MOM, ROC, and STOCHF zero-cross downs, plus EMA and HT Trendline retreats. This confluence points to strong selling pressure and a well-defined downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is notable: the 15-minute through 2-hour charts all show solid bearish trends (3/5 strength), while the 4-hour and daily charts are forming bearish trends, indicating that the short-term momentum is supported by the broader structure, even though the 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes remain choppy and sideways.

Immediate resistance is at 0.70213, a level that previously acted as support and now flips to resistance, providing a clear reference for the bearish bias. With no nearest support defined, the downside is open, but traders should watch for a potential bounce at prior swing lows or psychological levels. The high probability (100%) and very strong signal strength underscore the conviction behind this move, yet the lack of a defined support level increases uncertainty about the depth of the pullback. Overall, the trend is firmly bearish, and any rally toward resistance should be viewed as a potential selling opportunity unless the price reclaims that level.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of a chart pattern (Descending Triangle) with multiple momentum and trend indicators.
▼ Strong bearish trend scores (3/5) across four consecutive timeframes (15m to 2h).
▼ EMA and HT Trendline retreats confirm the bearish momentum.
▼ High probability (100%) and very strong signal strength indicate high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (8h and 12h) trends are choppy and sideways, which could limit the downside.
▲ No defined support level means the sell-off could be shallow or face unexpected bounces.
▲ A break above the 0.70213 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum indicators are already stretched; a pullback or consolidation is possible before further downside.