EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC 50 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

1.11881

Target

1.11477 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12371 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.41) ▼ Bearish 94 % (22.30)

model score 3.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 605 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

08:00TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 16h
10:00TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.8%in 18h
10:00TomorrowEURCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.5%in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.84
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	SMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.59
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is firing across multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart, signaling a strong short-term down move.
Higher timeframes are mostly bullish but choppy, so the bearish signal is counter-trend on those frames.
Watch the nearest support at 1.11770; a break below could confirm the downside, while a move back above 1.12068 would invalidate the signal.
The daily trend is strongly bearish, which may support the short-term sell signal over time.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including CCI, CMO, RSI, and TRIX zero-line cross downs, along with break downs of the Bollinger Band middle, KAMA, and SMA 50. This indicates a sharp shift in short-term momentum to the downside after a period of bullish but choppy price action across lower timeframes. The signal's very strong strength and 94% probability reflect the confluence of multiple indicators aligning in the same direction, suggesting that the immediate bias is bearish.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 12-hour and daily timeframes are bearish, with the daily trend rated as very strong, the 15-minute through 8-hour timeframes are all bullish but choppy and sideways. This creates a potential conflict: the short-term momentum is bearish, but the medium-term trend is still bullish, albeit weak. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12068 and support at 1.11770. A break below support could confirm the bearish move and open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI, TRIX) all crossing below their zero/midline levels, showing strong bearish momentum.
▼ Breakdowns of key moving averages (SMA 50, KAMA) and the Bollinger Band middle, adding technical confluence.
▼ The daily timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, which could align with the short-term sell signal.
▼ The signal has a very strong strength rating and a high probability, indicating high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute through 8-hour timeframes are bullish, albeit choppy, which could lead to a bounce or reversal against the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The nearest support at 1.11770 is close; if it holds, the downside may be limited.
▲ The signal is counter-trend on most lower timeframes, so momentum could fade quickly if the bullish trend reasserts.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.12068, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the short-term bias could turn bullish again.