NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

0.56201

Target

0.56025 +0.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56363 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 15 % (3.43) ▼ Bearish 85 % (19.66)

model score 85.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 3h
21:45TodayNZDEmployment Change q/q●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.5%in 10h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.83
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.50
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.25
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.98
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.60

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal cluster on 30M with 15 indicators aligned, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the daily chart showing a solid downtrend.
Watch resistance at 0.56363 and support at 0.56025 for potential breakout or reversal.
High probability (82%) and strong strength signal indicate a high-confidence short setup.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, with 15 indicators crossing below key thresholds, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Down. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure at the current levels, reinforced by a MAMA Cross Up that may indicate a short-term bounce but is outweighed by the overall bearish momentum. The signal groups span indicators, candlesticks, and Fibonacci, adding technical weight to the setup.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, though momentum is choppy on the 30-minute and 1-hour charts (trend score 1/5), while higher timeframes (4H to 1D) show a forming or solid downtrend. The daily chart displays a solid bearish trend (3/5), providing a supportive backdrop. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56363, which could act as a barrier for any pullback, and the nearest support at 0.56025, a break of which would open the door for further downside. The high probability (82%) and strong strength signal suggest a high-confidence setup, but traders should monitor for a potential bounce at support.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 15 bearish signals across indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with daily chart in a solid downtrend.
▼ Key resistance at 0.56363 is likely to hold, providing a ceiling for any upside moves.
▼ Strong trend scores on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) support the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways momentum on 30M and 1H could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.56363 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ MAMA Cross Up suggests a possible short-term bounce, which could stall the decline.
▲ If support at 0.56025 holds, the pair may consolidate rather than continue lower.