AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 03:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.47 %

Entry

0.69652

Target

0.69524 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69977 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 3h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful convergence of bearish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart, with a 96% probability and very strong strength.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction in the 2H and 4H charts.
Watch the 0.69977 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
The immediate downside target is the 0.69617 support, which is the first major test for sellers.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to sustained downside momentum. The zero-cross down on BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR, combined with the STOCHF KD cross down, indicates a broad-based loss of buying pressure across momentum and oscillators. The EMA, KAMA, and higher-timeframe trendline retreats confirm that price is pulling back into established resistance zones, reinforcing the bearish stance.

The trend structure is consistently bearish across all monitored timeframes, from the 15-minute up to the daily chart, with the strongest conviction in the 2-hour and 4-hour windows where trend scores reach 3/5. This multi-timeframe alignment suggests the current sell-off is not a mere retracement but part of a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.69977 is the immediate barrier that sellers need to defend; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.69617 is the first downside target, and a clean break there could open the door to further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, with solid trend scores on the 2H and 4H charts.
▼ A dense cluster of momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing zero down simultaneously.
▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA, KAMA) and a higher-timeframe trendline, confirming resistance.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability, indicating robust selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A break above the 0.69977 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum could fade if the price approaches the 0.69617 support, as buyers may step in.
▲ The daily trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the longer-term bearishness is not yet fully established.